Sevilla FCvs
CD LeganesSevilla FC 2-2 CD Leganes — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Sun, 04 May 2025 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sevilla FC51%
- Sevilla FC 51%
- Draw 24%
- CD Leganes 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sevilla FC, rating it at 51.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Sevilla FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Sevilla FC's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. CD Leganes's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Sevilla FC: LWWLW
CD Leganes: WWDDW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-04 | Sevilla FC vs CD Leganes | 2–2 |
| 2024-11-09 | CD Leganes vs Sevilla FC | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sevilla FC vs CD Leganes?
- Tofiko's model favours Sevilla FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sevilla FC vs CD Leganes kick off?
- Sun, 04 May 2025 14:15 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the Sevilla FC vs CD Leganes head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.