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CD Mirandes crestCD MirandesvsAD Ceuta crestAD Ceuta

CD Mirandes vs AD Ceuta Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 01 Mar 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished

Final: CD Mirandes 01 AD Ceuta

Tofiko prediction

Model backs CD Mirandes41%

CD Mirandes 41%
Draw 24%
AD Ceuta 36%
  • CD Mirandes 41%
  • Draw 24%
  • AD Ceuta 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick CD Mirandes, rating it at 40.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and CD Mirandes won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

CD Mirandes: LLWDL

AD Ceuta: WWLLW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-01CD Mirandes vs AD Ceuta0–1
2025-10-18AD Ceuta vs CD Mirandes2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CD Mirandes vs AD Ceuta?
Tofiko's model favours CD Mirandes (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CD Mirandes vs AD Ceuta kick off?
Sun, 01 Mar 2026 15:15 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the CD Mirandes vs AD Ceuta head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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