Racing de Santander 4-1 UD Las Palmas — Result, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 18 Jan 2026 15:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Racing de Santander45%
- Racing de Santander 45%
- Draw 24%
- UD Las Palmas 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Racing de Santander, rating it at 45.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Racing de Santander won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Racing de Santander: WLDDW
UD Las Palmas: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Racing de Santander vs UD Las Palmas | 4–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | UD Las Palmas vs Racing de Santander | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Racing de Santander vs UD Las Palmas?
- Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Racing de Santander vs UD Las Palmas kick off?
- Sun, 18 Jan 2026 15:15 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Racing de Santander vs UD Las Palmas head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.