Real Sociedad Bvs
Malaga CFReal Sociedad B vs Malaga CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 16 Feb 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Real Sociedad B 2–1 Malaga CF
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Malaga CF43%
- Real Sociedad B 34%
- Draw 23%
- Malaga CF 43%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Malaga CF, rating it at 43.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Sociedad B won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Malaga CF's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Real Sociedad B's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Malaga CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Sociedad B: LLWLD
Malaga CF: LWDDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Real Sociedad B vs Malaga CF | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Malaga CF vs Real Sociedad B | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Sociedad B vs Malaga CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Malaga CF (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Sociedad B vs Malaga CF kick off?
- Mon, 16 Feb 2026 19:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Real Sociedad B vs Malaga CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.