Real Valladolid crestReal ValladolidvsRC Celta de Vigo crestRC Celta de Vigo

Real Valladolid 0-1 RC Celta de Vigo — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 15 Mar 2025 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RC Celta de Vigo56%

  • Real Valladolid 21%
  • Draw 23%
  • RC Celta de Vigo 56%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RC Celta de Vigo, rating it at 55.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Real Valladolid won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Real Valladolid: DLLWW

RC Celta de Vigo: LLLDD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.83Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-15Real Valladolid vs RC Celta de Vigo0–1
2024-09-15RC Celta de Vigo vs Real Valladolid3–1
2023-02-26Celta Vigo vs Valladolid3–0
2022-10-19Valladolid vs Celta Vigo4–1
2021-02-28Celta Vigo vs Valladolid1–1
2020-09-27Valladolid vs Celta Vigo1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Valladolid vs RC Celta de Vigo?
Tofiko's model favours RC Celta de Vigo (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Valladolid vs RC Celta de Vigo kick off?
Sat, 15 Mar 2025 13:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
What is the Real Valladolid vs RC Celta de Vigo head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.

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