Rayo Vallecanovs
Real ValladolidRayo Vallecano 1-0 Real Valladolid — Result, H2H & Form
La Liga 2024-2025Fri, 07 Feb 2025 20:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano62%
- Rayo Vallecano 62%
- Draw 24%
- Real Valladolid 14%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 61.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Rayo Vallecano won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW
Real Valladolid: DLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-07 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Real Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2023-05-04 | Rayo Vallecano vs Valladolid | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-14 | Valladolid vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid kick off?
- Fri, 07 Feb 2025 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.