Real Valladolid crestReal ValladolidvsReal Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CF

Real Valladolid 0-3 Real Madrid CF — Result, H2H & Form

La Liga 2024-2025Sat, 25 Jan 2025 20:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid CF78%

  • Real Valladolid 6%
  • Draw 16%
  • Real Madrid CF 78%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 77.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Real Valladolid won none of them. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 16.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Real Valladolid: DLLWW

Real Madrid CF: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-01-25Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid CF0–3
2024-08-25Real Madrid CF vs Real Valladolid3–0
2023-04-02Real Madrid vs Valladolid6–0
2022-12-30Valladolid vs Real Madrid0–2
2021-02-20Valladolid vs Real Madrid0–1
2020-09-30Real Madrid vs Valladolid1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid CF?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (78% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
Sat, 25 Jan 2025 20:00 GMT — La Liga 2024-2025.
What is the Real Valladolid vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

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