Real Zaragozavs
AD CeutaReal Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 18 Apr 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Real Zaragoza 2–2 AD Ceuta
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Zaragoza40%
- Real Zaragoza 40%
- Draw 26%
- AD Ceuta 34%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Zaragoza, rating it at 40.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Zaragoza won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 26.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Zaragoza: LLWLD
AD Ceuta: WWLLW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Real Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-21 | AD Ceuta vs Real Zaragoza | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Zaragoza (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta kick off?
- Sat, 18 Apr 2026 14:15 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Real Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.