Real Zaragozavs
AD CeutaReal Zaragoza 2-2 AD Ceuta — Result, H2H & Form
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 18 Apr 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Zaragoza40%
Tofiko40% / 26% / 34%
Market59% / 23% / 17%
- Real Zaragoza
- Draw
- AD Ceuta
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Zaragoza, rating it at 40.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Zaragoza won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Real Zaragoza's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. AD Ceuta's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Real Zaragoza's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
Real Zaragoza: DWWWW
AD Ceuta: LDWDL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Real Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-21 | AD Ceuta vs Real Zaragoza | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Zaragoza (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta kick off?
- Sat, 18 Apr 2026 14:15 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Real Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.