AC Milanvs
AS RomaAC Milan vs AS Roma Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 16 May 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
AC Milan or draw74%
1X2: model backs AC Milan at 44% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- AC Milan
- Draw
- AS Roma
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AC Milan or draw74%
- Draw or AS Roma56%
- AC Milan or AS Roma70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.550%
- Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
- AC Milan, last 10 home games4 of 10
- AS Roma, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 43.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 5 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 216 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AC Milan: DWLDD
AS Roma: DDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 216 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | AS Roma vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | AC Milan vs AS Roma | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-18 | AS Roma vs AC Milan | 3–1 |
| 2024-12-29 | AC Milan vs AS Roma | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-14 | AC Milan vs AS Roma | 3–1 |
| 2023-09-01 | AS Roma vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
| 2023-04-29 | AS Roma vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-08 | AC Milan vs AS Roma | 2–2 |
| 2022-01-06 | AC Milan vs AS Roma | 3–1 |
| 2021-10-31 | AS Roma vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Milan vs AS Roma?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Milan vs AS Roma kick off?
- Sun, 16 May 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Milan vs AS Roma head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.