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AS Roma vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 10 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AS Roma43%

Tofiko43% / 31% / 27%
  • AS Roma
  • Draw
  • AC Milan

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AS Roma or draw73%
  • Draw or AC Milan57%
  • AS Roma or AC Milan69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.550%
  • Under 2.550%

Both teams to score

  • AS Roma, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • AC Milan, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AS Roma, rating it at 42.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and AS Roma won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 90 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AS Roma: DDWDW

AC Milan: DWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 90 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 90%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-25AS Roma vs AC Milan1–1
2025-11-02AC Milan vs AS Roma1–0
2025-05-18AS Roma vs AC Milan3–1
2024-12-29AC Milan vs AS Roma1–1
2024-01-14AC Milan vs AS Roma3–1
2023-09-01AS Roma vs AC Milan1–2
2023-04-29AS Roma vs AC Milan1–1
2023-01-08AC Milan vs AS Roma2–2
2022-01-06AC Milan vs AS Roma3–1
2021-10-31AS Roma vs AC Milan1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AS Roma vs AC Milan?
Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does AS Roma vs AC Milan kick off?
Sun, 10 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AS Roma vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAC Milan vs AS Roma16 May 2027 →