AS Romavs
AC MilanAS Roma vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 10 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma43%
- AS Roma 43%
- Draw 31%
- AC Milan 27%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AS Roma, rating it at 42.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AS Roma won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Roma: LDWWW
AC Milan: DLWLL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | AS Roma vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-02 | AC Milan vs AS Roma | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-18 | AS Roma vs AC Milan | 3–1 |
| 2024-12-29 | AC Milan vs AS Roma | 1–1 |
| 2024-01-14 | AC Milan vs AS Roma | 3–1 |
| 2023-09-01 | AS Roma vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
| 2023-04-29 | AS Roma vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2023-01-08 | AC Milan vs AS Roma | 2–2 |
| 2022-01-06 | AC Milan vs AS Roma | 3–1 |
| 2021-10-31 | AS Roma vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Roma vs AC Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AS Roma vs AC Milan kick off?
- Sun, 10 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AS Roma vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.