AC Milanvs
Bologna FC 1909AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie AWed, 28 Oct 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Milan57%
- AC Milan 57%
- Draw 26%
- Bologna FC 1909 17%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 57.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 6 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 26.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AC Milan: DLWLL
Bologna FC 1909: WWDLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | Bologna FC 1909 vs AC Milan | 0–3 |
| 2025-09-14 | AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909 | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-09 | AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909 | 3–1 |
| 2025-02-27 | Bologna FC 1909 vs AC Milan | 2–1 |
| 2024-01-27 | AC Milan vs Bologna | 2–2 |
| 2023-08-21 | Bologna vs AC Milan | 0–2 |
| 2023-04-15 | Bologna vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2022-08-27 | AC Milan vs Bologna | 2–0 |
| 2022-04-04 | AC Milan vs Bologna | 0–0 |
| 2021-10-23 | Bologna vs AC Milan | 2–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909 kick off?
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.