AS Romavs
Cagliari CalcioAS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie AWed, 28 Oct 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma67%
- AS Roma 67%
- Draw 22%
- Cagliari Calcio 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 67.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AS Roma won 7 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Roma's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Cagliari Calcio's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Roma: LDWWW
Cagliari Calcio: WDWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Cagliari Calcio vs AS Roma | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-16 | AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Cagliari Calcio vs AS Roma | 0–0 |
| 2024-02-05 | AS Roma vs Cagliari | 4–0 |
| 2023-10-08 | Cagliari vs AS Roma | 1–4 |
| 2022-01-16 | AS Roma vs Cagliari | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-27 | Cagliari vs AS Roma | 1–2 |
| 2021-04-25 | Cagliari vs AS Roma | 3–2 |
| 2020-12-23 | AS Roma vs Cagliari | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio kick off?
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.