Empoli FC crestEmpoli FCvsAC Milan crestAC Milan

Empoli FC 0-2 AC Milan — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sat, 08 Feb 2025 17:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Milan61%

  • Empoli FC 17%
  • Draw 22%
  • AC Milan 61%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 61.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Empoli FC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Empoli FC: LWDDD

AC Milan: WWWLD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-02-08Empoli FC vs AC Milan0–2
2024-11-30AC Milan vs Empoli FC3–0
2024-03-10AC Milan vs Empoli1–0
2024-01-07Empoli vs AC Milan0–3
2023-04-07AC Milan vs Empoli0–0
2022-10-01Empoli vs AC Milan1–3
2022-03-12AC Milan vs Empoli1–0
2021-12-22Empoli vs AC Milan2–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli FC vs AC Milan?
Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Empoli FC vs AC Milan kick off?
Sat, 08 Feb 2025 17:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
What is the Empoli FC vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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