AS Roma crestAS RomavsGenoa CFC crestGenoa CFC

AS Roma vs Genoa CFC Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASat, 17 Oct 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

AS Roma to win64%

1X2: model backs AS Roma at 64%.

Tofiko64% / 22% / 13%
Market72% / 18% / 10%
  • AS Roma
  • Draw
  • Genoa CFC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AS Roma or draw87%
  • Draw or Genoa CFC36%
  • AS Roma or Genoa CFC78%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.547%
  • Under 2.553%

Both teams to score

  • AS Roma, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Genoa CFC, last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 64.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and AS Roma won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026.

AS Roma: DDWDW

Genoa CFC: WLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-08Genoa CFC vs AS Roma2–1
2025-12-29AS Roma vs Genoa CFC3–1
2025-01-17AS Roma vs Genoa CFC3–1
2024-09-15Genoa CFC vs AS Roma1–1
2024-05-19AS Roma vs Genoa1–0
2023-09-28Genoa vs AS Roma4–1
2022-02-05AS Roma vs Genoa0–0
2021-11-21Genoa vs AS Roma0–2
2021-03-07AS Roma vs Genoa1–0
2020-11-08Genoa vs AS Roma1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa CFC?
Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AS Roma vs Genoa CFC kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AS Roma vs Genoa CFC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureGenoa vs AS Roma14 Mar 2027 →