AS Romavs
Genoa CFCAS Roma vs Genoa CFC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 18 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma63%
- AS Roma 63%
- Draw 26%
- Genoa CFC 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 63.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AS Roma won 6 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. AS Roma's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Genoa CFC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Roma: LDWWW
Genoa CFC: WDWLL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | Genoa CFC vs AS Roma | 2–1 |
| 2025-12-29 | AS Roma vs Genoa CFC | 3–1 |
| 2025-01-17 | AS Roma vs Genoa CFC | 3–1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Genoa CFC vs AS Roma | 1–1 |
| 2024-05-19 | AS Roma vs Genoa | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-28 | Genoa vs AS Roma | 4–1 |
| 2022-02-05 | AS Roma vs Genoa | 0–0 |
| 2021-11-21 | Genoa vs AS Roma | 0–2 |
| 2021-03-07 | AS Roma vs Genoa | 1–0 |
| 2020-11-08 | Genoa vs AS Roma | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Roma vs Genoa CFC?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Roma vs Genoa CFC kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AS Roma vs Genoa CFC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.