AC Milanvs
Atalanta BCAC Milan vs Atalanta BC Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 18 Oct 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
AC Milan or draw74%
1X2: model backs AC Milan at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- AC Milan
- Draw
- Atalanta BC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AC Milan or draw74%
- Draw or Atalanta BC55%
- AC Milan or Atalanta BC72%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Under 2.543%
Both teams to score
- AC Milan, last 10 home games4 of 10
- Atalanta BC, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (377 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 45.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 11 Oct 2026.
AC Milan: DWLDD
Atalanta BC: LLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 11 Oct 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | AC Milan vs Atalanta BC | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-28 | Atalanta BC vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-20 | AC Milan vs Atalanta BC | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-06 | Atalanta BC vs AC Milan | 2–1 |
| 2024-02-25 | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Atalanta vs AC Milan | 3–2 |
| 2023-02-26 | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 2–0 |
| 2022-08-21 | Atalanta vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-15 | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 2–0 |
| 2021-10-03 | Atalanta vs AC Milan | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AC Milan vs Atalanta BC?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Milan vs Atalanta BC kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Milan vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.