AC Milan crestAC MilanvsAtalanta BC crestAtalanta BC

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 18 Oct 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Milan45%

Tofiko45% / 28% / 26%
  • AC Milan
  • Draw
  • Atalanta BC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 45.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 27 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AC Milan: WLDDW

Atalanta BC: LLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 21 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 27 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-10AC Milan vs Atalanta BC2–3
2025-10-28Atalanta BC vs AC Milan1–1
2025-04-20AC Milan vs Atalanta BC0–1
2024-12-06Atalanta BC vs AC Milan2–1
2024-02-25AC Milan vs Atalanta1–1
2023-12-09Atalanta vs AC Milan3–2
2023-02-26AC Milan vs Atalanta2–0
2022-08-21Atalanta vs AC Milan1–1
2022-05-15AC Milan vs Atalanta2–0
2021-10-03Atalanta vs AC Milan2–3

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FAQ

Who will win AC Milan vs Atalanta BC?
Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Milan vs Atalanta BC kick off?
Sun, 18 Oct 2026 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AC Milan vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAtalanta vs AC Milan21 Mar 2027 →