AC Milanvs
ACF FiorentinaAC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie AWed, 06 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Milan57%
- AC Milan 57%
- Draw 26%
- ACF Fiorentina 17%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 57.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- ACF Fiorentina's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AC Milan: DLWLL
ACF Fiorentina: DWLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–2 |
| 2024-10-06 | ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-25 | AC Milan vs Fiorentina | 1–0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-13 | AC Milan vs Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2022-05-01 | AC Milan vs Fiorentina | 1–0 |
| 2021-11-20 | Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 4–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
- Wed, 06 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.