ACF Fiorentinavs
AC MilanACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 11 Apr 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Milan39%
- ACF Fiorentina
- Draw
- AC Milan
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- ACF Fiorentina or draw61%
- Draw or AC Milan69%
- ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- ACF Fiorentina, last 10 home games6 of 10
- AC Milan, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AC Milan, rating it at 39.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL
AC Milan: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 181 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–2 |
| 2024-10-06 | ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 2–1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
| 2023-11-25 | AC Milan vs Fiorentina | 1–0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-13 | AC Milan vs Fiorentina | 2–1 |
| 2022-05-01 | AC Milan vs Fiorentina | 1–0 |
| 2021-11-20 | Fiorentina vs AC Milan | 4–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan kick off?
- Sun, 11 Apr 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.