AC Milan crestAC MilanvsInter Milan crestInter Milan

AC Milan vs Inter Milan Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASat, 31 Oct 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Inter Milan or draw74%

1X2: model backs Inter Milan at 46% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko26% / 29% / 46%
  • AC Milan
  • Draw
  • Inter Milan

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AC Milan or draw54%
  • Draw or Inter Milan74%
  • AC Milan or Inter Milan71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.554%
  • Under 2.546%

Both teams to score

  • AC Milan, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Inter Milan, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 45.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Inter Milan's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AC Milan: DWLDD

Inter Milan: WWDWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 19 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-05AC Milan vs Inter Milan1–1
2026-03-08AC Milan vs Inter Milan1–0
2025-11-23Inter Milan vs AC Milan0–1
2025-02-02AC Milan vs Inter Milan1–1
2024-09-22Inter Milan vs AC Milan1–2
2024-04-22AC Milan vs Inter Milan1–2
2023-09-16Inter Milan vs AC Milan5–1
2023-02-05Inter Milan vs AC Milan1–0
2022-09-03AC Milan vs Inter Milan3–2
2022-02-05Inter Milan vs AC Milan1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Milan vs Inter Milan?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Milan vs Inter Milan kick off?
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AC Milan vs Inter Milan head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureInter vs AC Milan14 Feb 2027 →