US Sassuolo Calcio crestUS Sassuolo CalciovsACF Fiorentina crestACF Fiorentina

US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie AMon, 02 Nov 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs ACF Fiorentina37%

Tofiko34% / 29% / 37%
  • US Sassuolo Calcio
  • Draw
  • ACF Fiorentina

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • US Sassuolo Calcio or draw63%
  • Draw or ACF Fiorentina66%
  • US Sassuolo Calcio or ACF Fiorentina71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.558%
  • Under 2.542%

Both teams to score

  • US Sassuolo Calcio, last 10 home games8 of 10
  • ACF Fiorentina, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks ACF Fiorentina, rating it at 36.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and US Sassuolo Calcio won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWDD

ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-26ACF Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio0–0
2025-12-06US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina3–1
2024-04-28Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio5–1
2024-01-06US Sassuolo Calcio vs Fiorentina1–0
2023-06-02US Sassuolo Calcio vs Fiorentina1–3
2023-01-07Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
2022-02-26US Sassuolo Calcio vs Fiorentina2–1
2021-12-19Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
2021-04-17US Sassuolo Calcio vs Fiorentina3–1
2020-12-16Fiorentina vs US Sassuolo Calcio1–1

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FAQ

Who will win US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina?
Tofiko's model favours ACF Fiorentina (37% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
Mon, 02 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFiorentina vs Sassuolo24 Jan 2027 →