AC Milan crestAC MilanvsSS Lazio crestSS Lazio

AC Milan vs SS Lazio Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 02 May 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

AC Milan to win52%

1X2: model backs AC Milan at 52%.

Tofiko52% / 28% / 20%
  • AC Milan
  • Draw
  • SS Lazio

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AC Milan or draw80%
  • Draw or SS Lazio48%
  • AC Milan or SS Lazio72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.553%
  • Under 2.547%

Both teams to score

  • AC Milan, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • SS Lazio, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 52.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 202 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AC Milan: DWLDD

SS Lazio: WDWWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 202 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12SS Lazio vs AC Milan2–2
2026-03-15SS Lazio vs AC Milan1–0
2025-11-29AC Milan vs SS Lazio1–0
2025-03-02AC Milan vs SS Lazio1–2
2024-08-31SS Lazio vs AC Milan2–2
2024-03-01Lazio vs AC Milan0–1
2023-09-30AC Milan vs Lazio2–0
2023-05-06AC Milan vs Lazio2–0
2023-01-24Lazio vs AC Milan4–0
2022-04-24Lazio vs AC Milan1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Milan vs SS Lazio?
Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Milan vs SS Lazio kick off?
Sun, 02 May 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AC Milan vs SS Lazio head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legLazio 2-2 AC Milan12 Sept 2026 →