SS Lazio crestSS LaziovsAC Milan crestAC Milan

SS Lazio 2-2 AC Milan — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASat, 12 Sep 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SS Lazio40%

  • SS Lazio 40%
  • Draw 24%
  • AC Milan 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks SS Lazio, rating it at 40.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SS Lazio won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

SS Lazio: DWWWL

AC Milan: DDWWW

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12SS Lazio vs AC Milan2–2
2026-03-15SS Lazio vs AC Milan1–0
2025-11-29AC Milan vs SS Lazio1–0
2025-03-02AC Milan vs SS Lazio1–2
2024-08-31SS Lazio vs AC Milan2–2
2024-03-01Lazio vs AC Milan0–1
2023-09-30AC Milan vs Lazio2–0
2023-05-06AC Milan vs Lazio2–0
2023-01-24Lazio vs AC Milan4–0
2022-04-24Lazio vs AC Milan1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SS Lazio vs AC Milan?
Tofiko's model favours SS Lazio (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does SS Lazio vs AC Milan kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 15:59 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the SS Lazio vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureAC Milan vs Lazio2 May 2027 →