SS Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 13 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SS Lazio36%
- SS Lazio 36%
- Draw 30%
- AC Milan 34%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks SS Lazio, rating it at 36.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SS Lazio won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SS Lazio's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SS Lazio: WWWWL
AC Milan: DDLWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 30%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | SS Lazio vs AC Milan | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | AC Milan vs SS Lazio | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-02 | AC Milan vs SS Lazio | 1–2 |
| 2024-08-31 | SS Lazio vs AC Milan | 2–2 |
| 2024-03-01 | Lazio vs AC Milan | 0–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | AC Milan vs Lazio | 2–0 |
| 2023-05-06 | AC Milan vs Lazio | 2–0 |
| 2023-01-24 | Lazio vs AC Milan | 4–0 |
| 2022-04-24 | Lazio vs AC Milan | 1–2 |
| 2021-09-12 | AC Milan vs Lazio | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SS Lazio vs AC Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours SS Lazio (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does SS Lazio vs AC Milan kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the SS Lazio vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.