AC Milanvs
SSC NapoliAC Milan vs SSC Napoli Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 18 Apr 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Milan36%
- AC Milan
- Draw
- SSC Napoli
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AC Milan or draw67%
- Draw or SSC Napoli64%
- AC Milan or SSC Napoli69%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.549%
- Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
- AC Milan, last 10 home games4 of 10
- SSC Napoli, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (379 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks AC Milan, rating it at 35.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 188 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AC Milan: DWLDD
SSC Napoli: WDWLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 188 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.30Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | SSC Napoli vs AC Milan | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-28 | AC Milan vs SSC Napoli | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-30 | SSC Napoli vs AC Milan | 2–1 |
| 2024-10-29 | AC Milan vs SSC Napoli | 0–2 |
| 2024-02-11 | AC Milan vs Napoli | 1–0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Napoli vs AC Milan | 2–2 |
| 2023-04-02 | Napoli vs AC Milan | 0–4 |
| 2022-09-18 | AC Milan vs Napoli | 1–2 |
| 2022-03-06 | Napoli vs AC Milan | 0–1 |
| 2021-12-19 | AC Milan vs Napoli | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Milan vs SSC Napoli?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AC Milan vs SSC Napoli kick off?
- Sun, 18 Apr 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Milan vs SSC Napoli head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.