SSC Napoli crestSSC NapolivsAC Milan crestAC Milan

SSC Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 13 Dec 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SSC Napoli to win50%

1X2: model backs SSC Napoli at 50%.

Tofiko50% / 29% / 20%
  • SSC Napoli
  • Draw
  • AC Milan

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SSC Napoli or draw80%
  • Draw or AC Milan50%
  • SSC Napoli or AC Milan71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.549%
  • Under 2.551%

Both teams to score

  • SSC Napoli, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • AC Milan, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SSC Napoli, rating it at 50.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SSC Napoli won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 63 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SSC Napoli: WDWLL

AC Milan: DWLDD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 63 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-06SSC Napoli vs AC Milan1–0
2025-09-28AC Milan vs SSC Napoli2–1
2025-03-30SSC Napoli vs AC Milan2–1
2024-10-29AC Milan vs SSC Napoli0–2
2024-02-11AC Milan vs Napoli1–0
2023-10-29Napoli vs AC Milan2–2
2023-04-02Napoli vs AC Milan0–4
2022-09-18AC Milan vs Napoli1–2
2022-03-06Napoli vs AC Milan0–1
2021-12-19AC Milan vs Napoli0–1

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FAQ

Who will win SSC Napoli vs AC Milan?
Tofiko's model favours SSC Napoli (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SSC Napoli vs AC Milan kick off?
Sun, 13 Dec 2026 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the SSC Napoli vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureAC Milan vs Napoli18 Apr 2027 →