AC Milan crestAC MilanvsUS Sassuolo Calcio crestUS Sassuolo Calcio

AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 14 Mar 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

AC Milan to win67%

1X2: model backs AC Milan at 67%.

Tofiko67% / 21% / 12%
  • AC Milan
  • Draw
  • US Sassuolo Calcio

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AC Milan or draw88%
  • Draw or US Sassuolo Calcio33%
  • AC Milan or US Sassuolo Calcio79%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.564%
  • Under 2.536%

Both teams to score

  • AC Milan, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • US Sassuolo Calcio, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 66.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AC Milan: DWLDD

US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWDD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.20Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-11US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan1–1
2026-05-03US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan2–0
2025-12-14AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
2024-04-14US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan3–3
2023-12-30AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio1–0
2023-01-29AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio2–5
2022-08-30US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan0–0
2022-05-22US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan0–3
2021-11-28AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio1–3
2021-04-21AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
Sun, 14 Mar 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSassuolo 1-1 AC Milan11 Oct 2026 →