AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 14 Mar 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
AC Milan to win67%
1X2: model backs AC Milan at 67%.
- AC Milan
- Draw
- US Sassuolo Calcio
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AC Milan or draw88%
- Draw or US Sassuolo Calcio33%
- AC Milan or US Sassuolo Calcio79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.564%
- Under 2.536%
Both teams to score
- AC Milan, last 10 home games4 of 10
- US Sassuolo Calcio, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 66.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and AC Milan won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AC Milan: DWLDD
US Sassuolo Calcio: DLWDD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 153 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.20Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-03 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan | 2–0 |
| 2025-12-14 | AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–2 |
| 2024-04-14 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan | 3–3 |
| 2023-12-30 | AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–0 |
| 2023-01-29 | AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 2–5 |
| 2022-08-30 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan | 0–0 |
| 2022-05-22 | US Sassuolo Calcio vs AC Milan | 0–3 |
| 2021-11-28 | AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–3 |
| 2021-04-21 | AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 14 Mar 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Milan vs US Sassuolo Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 4 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.20 goals per game.