AC Milanvs
Venezia FCAC Milan vs Venezia FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie AFri, 28 Aug 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AC Milan73%
- AC Milan 73%
- Draw 19%
- Venezia FC 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 73.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AC Milan won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 73.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 18.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Venezia FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AC Milan: DDLWL
Venezia FC: LWWWW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | Venezia FC vs AC Milan | 0–2 |
| 2024-09-14 | AC Milan vs Venezia FC | 4–0 |
| 2022-01-09 | Venezia F.C. vs AC Milan | 0–3 |
| 2021-09-22 | AC Milan vs Venezia F.C. | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AC Milan vs Venezia FC?
- Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AC Milan vs Venezia FC kick off?
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Milan vs Venezia FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.