Atalanta BCvs
Venezia FCAtalanta BC vs Venezia FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atalanta BC74%
- Atalanta BC 74%
- Draw 18%
- Venezia FC 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 73.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Atalanta BC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 73.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Venezia FC's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Atalanta BC's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 17.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Venezia FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Atalanta BC: WDLWD
Venezia FC: LWWWW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC | 0–0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Venezia FC vs Atalanta BC | 0–2 |
| 2022-04-23 | Venezia F.C. vs Atalanta | 1–3 |
| 2021-11-30 | Atalanta vs Venezia F.C. | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (74% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.