Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie AMon, 12 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Atalanta BC to win73%
1X2: model backs Atalanta BC at 73%.
- Atalanta BC
- Draw
- Venezia FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
AI match brief
🤖 AIAdorante (Inguinal Hernia), T. The model has Atalanta BC as strong favourite, giving the home side 73.3% against 62.3% from the market with the margin removed.
The rest of the brief — key angles, context and exact-score probabilities — is Pro. Read the full brief with Pro →
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Atalanta BC or draw91%
- Draw or Venezia FC27%
- Atalanta BC or Venezia FC82%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- Atalanta BC, last 10 home games4 of 10
- Venezia FC, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (377 games)47%
- Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 59% · No 41%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 73.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Atalanta BC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Venezia FC's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Atalanta BC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 11 Oct 2026.
Atalanta BC: LLLWW
Venezia FC: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC | 0–0 |
| 2024-10-20 | Venezia FC vs Atalanta BC | 0–2 |
| 2022-04-23 | Venezia F.C. vs Atalanta | 1–3 |
| 2021-11-30 | Atalanta vs Venezia F.C. | 4–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC kick off?
- Mon, 12 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.