Atalanta BC crestAtalanta BCvsVenezia FC crestVenezia FC

Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie AMon, 12 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Atalanta BC to win73%

1X2: model backs Atalanta BC at 73%.

Tofiko73% / 18% / 9%
Market62% / 22% / 16%
  • Atalanta BC
  • Draw
  • Venezia FC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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AI match brief

🤖 AI

Adorante (Inguinal Hernia), T. The model has Atalanta BC as strong favourite, giving the home side 73.3% against 62.3% from the market with the margin removed.

The rest of the brief — key angles, context and exact-score probabilities — is Pro. Read the full brief with Pro →

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Atalanta BC or draw91%
  • Draw or Venezia FC27%
  • Atalanta BC or Venezia FC82%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.561%
  • Under 2.539%

Both teams to score

  • Atalanta BC, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Venezia FC, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (377 games)47%
  • Bookmakers, margin removed (7 books)Yes 59% · No 41%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 73.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Atalanta BC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Venezia FC's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Atalanta BC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 11 Oct 2026.

Atalanta BC: LLLWW

Venezia FC: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 11 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-01Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC0–0
2024-10-20Venezia FC vs Atalanta BC0–2
2022-04-23Venezia F.C. vs Atalanta1–3
2021-11-30Atalanta vs Venezia F.C.4–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC kick off?
Mon, 12 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Atalanta BC vs Venezia FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureVenezia vs Atalanta14 Mar 2027 →