AS Romavs
US CremoneseAS Roma vs US Cremonese Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sun, 22 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: AS Roma 3–0 US Cremonese
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma67%
- AS Roma 67%
- Draw 21%
- US Cremonese 12%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 67.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AS Roma won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 67.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AS Roma: LDWWW
US Cremonese: DWLWW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | AS Roma vs US Cremonese | 3–0 |
| 2025-11-23 | US Cremonese vs AS Roma | 1–3 |
| 2023-02-28 | Cremonese vs AS Roma | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-22 | AS Roma vs Cremonese | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AS Roma vs US Cremonese?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Roma vs US Cremonese kick off?
- Sun, 22 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
- What is the AS Roma vs US Cremonese head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.