AC Monzavs
Cagliari CalcioAC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 18 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cagliari Calcio34%
- AC Monza 34%
- Draw 32%
- Cagliari Calcio 34%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Cagliari Calcio, rating it at 34.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and AC Monza won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 34.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Cagliari Calcio's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AC Monza's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AC Monza: LLWDL
Cagliari Calcio: LWWDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 47 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-30 | Cagliari Calcio vs AC Monza | 3–0 |
| 2025-01-05 | AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio | 1–2 |
| 2024-03-16 | AC Monza vs Cagliari | 1–0 |
| 2023-11-26 | Cagliari vs AC Monza | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Cagliari Calcio (34% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio kick off?
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.