AC Monza crestAC MonzavsCagliari Calcio crestCagliari Calcio

AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie AMon, 19 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cagliari Calcio34%

Tofiko34% / 32% / 34%
  • AC Monza
  • Draw
  • Cagliari Calcio

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AC Monza or draw66%
  • Draw or Cagliari Calcio66%
  • AC Monza or Cagliari Calcio68%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.543%
  • Under 2.557%

Both teams to score

  • AC Monza, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Cagliari Calcio, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Cagliari Calcio, rating it at 34.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and AC Monza won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. AC Monza's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Cagliari Calcio's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 8 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AC Monza: LDWWL

Cagliari Calcio: DWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 8 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 2.25Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-30Cagliari Calcio vs AC Monza3–0
2025-01-05AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio1–2
2024-03-16AC Monza vs Cagliari1–0
2023-11-26Cagliari vs AC Monza1–1

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FAQ

Who will win AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours Cagliari Calcio (34% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio kick off?
Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AC Monza vs Cagliari Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureCagliari vs Monza25 Apr 2027 →