AS Romavs
US LecceAS Roma vs US Lecce Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 21 Mar 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma66%
- AS Roma 66%
- Draw 25%
- US Lecce 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 65.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and AS Roma won 7 of 9, with 2 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 201 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
AS Roma: WWDLW
US Lecce: LWLWW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 201 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 44%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | US Lecce vs AS Roma | 0–4 |
| 2026-03-22 | AS Roma vs US Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-06 | US Lecce vs AS Roma | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-29 | US Lecce vs AS Roma | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-07 | AS Roma vs US Lecce | 4–1 |
| 2024-04-01 | Lecce vs AS Roma | 0–0 |
| 2023-11-05 | AS Roma vs Lecce | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-11 | Lecce vs AS Roma | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-09 | AS Roma vs Lecce | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AS Roma vs US Lecce?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AS Roma vs US Lecce kick off?
- Sun, 21 Mar 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the AS Roma vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.