AS Roma crestAS RomavsUS Lecce crestUS Lecce

AS Roma vs US Lecce Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 21 Mar 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

AS Roma to win66%

1X2: model backs AS Roma at 66%.

Tofiko66% / 25% / 10%
  • AS Roma
  • Draw
  • US Lecce

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AS Roma or draw90%
  • Draw or US Lecce34%
  • AS Roma or US Lecce75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.541%
  • Under 2.559%

Both teams to score

  • AS Roma, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • US Lecce, last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 65.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and AS Roma won 7 of 9, with 2 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 161 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AS Roma: DDWDW

US Lecce: LLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 161 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 44%Both scored
  • 44%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-31US Lecce vs AS Roma0–4
2026-03-22AS Roma vs US Lecce1–0
2026-01-06US Lecce vs AS Roma0–2
2025-03-29US Lecce vs AS Roma0–1
2024-12-07AS Roma vs US Lecce4–1
2024-04-01Lecce vs AS Roma0–0
2023-11-05AS Roma vs Lecce2–1
2023-02-11Lecce vs AS Roma1–1
2022-10-09AS Roma vs Lecce2–1

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FAQ

Who will win AS Roma vs US Lecce?
Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AS Roma vs US Lecce kick off?
Sun, 21 Mar 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the AS Roma vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legLecce 0-4 AS Roma31 Aug 2026 →