US Leccevs
AS RomaUS Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie AMon, 31 Aug 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AS Roma55%
- US Lecce 16%
- Draw 30%
- AS Roma 55%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 54.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and US Lecce won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
US Lecce: WDLWW
AS Roma: WLDWW
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.13Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | AS Roma vs US Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-06 | US Lecce vs AS Roma | 0–2 |
| 2025-03-29 | US Lecce vs AS Roma | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-07 | AS Roma vs US Lecce | 4–1 |
| 2024-04-01 | Lecce vs AS Roma | 0–0 |
| 2023-11-05 | AS Roma vs Lecce | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-11 | Lecce vs AS Roma | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-09 | AS Roma vs Lecce | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win US Lecce vs AS Roma?
- Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Lecce vs AS Roma kick off?
- Mon, 31 Aug 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Lecce vs AS Roma head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.13 goals per game.