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AS Roma crestAS RomavsPisa SC crestPisa SC

AS Roma vs Pisa SC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie A 2025-2026Fri, 10 Apr 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: AS Roma 30 Pisa SC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AS Roma72%

AS Roma 72%
Draw 18%
Pisa SC 9%
  • AS Roma 72%
  • Draw 18%
  • Pisa SC 9%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AS Roma, rating it at 72.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and AS Roma won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 72.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. AS Roma's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Pisa SC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 18.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • AS Roma's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

AS Roma: LDWWW

Pisa SC: LDDLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-10AS Roma vs Pisa SC3–0
2025-08-30Pisa SC vs AS Roma0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win AS Roma vs Pisa SC?
Tofiko's model favours AS Roma (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AS Roma vs Pisa SC kick off?
Fri, 10 Apr 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
What is the AS Roma vs Pisa SC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

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