Atalanta BCvs
AC MilanAtalanta BC vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 21 Mar 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Atalanta BC or draw73%
1X2: model backs Atalanta BC at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Atalanta BC
- Draw
- AC Milan
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Atalanta BC or draw73%
- Draw or AC Milan55%
- Atalanta BC or AC Milan71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Under 2.543%
Both teams to score
- Atalanta BC, last 10 home games4 of 10
- AC Milan, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 44.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 160 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Atalanta BC: LLLWW
AC Milan: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 160 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | AC Milan vs Atalanta BC | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-28 | Atalanta BC vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-20 | AC Milan vs Atalanta BC | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-06 | Atalanta BC vs AC Milan | 2–1 |
| 2024-02-25 | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Atalanta vs AC Milan | 3–2 |
| 2023-02-26 | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 2–0 |
| 2022-08-21 | Atalanta vs AC Milan | 1–1 |
| 2022-05-15 | AC Milan vs Atalanta | 2–0 |
| 2021-10-03 | Atalanta vs AC Milan | 2–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atalanta BC vs AC Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atalanta BC vs AC Milan kick off?
- Sun, 21 Mar 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Atalanta BC vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.