Atalanta BC crestAtalanta BCvsAS Roma crestAS Roma

Atalanta BC vs AS Roma Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 17 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Atalanta BC or draw73%

1X2: model backs Atalanta BC at 44% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko44% / 29% / 27%
  • Atalanta BC
  • Draw
  • AS Roma

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Atalanta BC or draw73%
  • Draw or AS Roma56%
  • Atalanta BC or AS Roma71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.555%
  • Under 2.545%

Both teams to score

  • Atalanta BC, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • AS Roma, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 44.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won 3 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 97 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Atalanta BC: LLLWW

AS Roma: DDWDW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 97 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.20Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05AS Roma vs Atalanta BC2–1
2026-04-18AS Roma vs Atalanta BC1–1
2026-01-03Atalanta BC vs AS Roma1–0
2025-05-12Atalanta BC vs AS Roma2–1
2024-12-02AS Roma vs Atalanta BC0–2
2024-05-12Atalanta vs AS Roma2–1
2024-01-07AS Roma vs Atalanta1–1
2023-04-24Atalanta vs AS Roma3–1
2022-09-18AS Roma vs Atalanta0–1
2022-03-05AS Roma vs Atalanta1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Atalanta BC vs AS Roma?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atalanta BC vs AS Roma kick off?
Sun, 17 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Atalanta BC vs AS Roma head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.20 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAS Roma 2-1 Atalanta5 Sept 2026 →