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Atalanta BC crestAtalanta BCvsBologna FC 1909 crestBologna FC 1909

Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie AMon, 31 Aug 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atalanta BC58%

Atalanta BC 58%
Draw 25%
Bologna FC 1909 17%
  • Atalanta BC 58%
  • Draw 25%
  • Bologna FC 1909 17%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 58.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Atalanta BC: LWDLW

Bologna FC 1909: WWWDL

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 1.70Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 20%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-17Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 19090–1
2026-01-07Bologna FC 1909 vs Atalanta BC0–2
2025-04-13Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 19092–0
2024-09-28Bologna FC 1909 vs Atalanta BC1–1
2024-03-03Atalanta vs Bologna1–2
2023-12-23Bologna vs Atalanta1–0
2023-04-08Atalanta vs Bologna0–2
2023-01-09Bologna vs Atalanta1–2
2022-03-20Bologna vs Atalanta0–1
2021-08-28Atalanta vs Bologna0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 1909?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 1909 kick off?
Mon, 31 Aug 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 1909 head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 6 away wins, averaging 1.70 goals per game.

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