Atalanta BCvs
Cagliari CalcioAtalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASat, 12 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atalanta BC70%
- Atalanta BC 70%
- Draw 19%
- Cagliari Calcio 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 70.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Atalanta BC: LWDLW
Cagliari Calcio: DWDWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Cagliari Calcio vs Atalanta BC | 3–2 |
| 2025-12-13 | Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-15 | Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio | 0–0 |
| 2024-12-14 | Cagliari Calcio vs Atalanta BC | 0–1 |
| 2024-04-07 | Cagliari vs Atalanta | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-24 | Atalanta vs Cagliari | 2–0 |
| 2022-02-06 | Atalanta vs Cagliari | 1–2 |
| 2021-11-06 | Cagliari vs Atalanta | 1–2 |
| 2021-02-14 | Cagliari vs Atalanta | 0–1 |
| 2020-10-04 | Atalanta vs Cagliari | 5–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.