Atalanta BC crestAtalanta BCvsCagliari Calcio crestCagliari Calcio

Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASat, 12 Sep 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atalanta BC68%

  • Atalanta BC 68%
  • Draw 18%
  • Cagliari Calcio 13%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 68.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

Atalanta BC: LWWWD

Cagliari Calcio: WLLWW

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-27Cagliari Calcio vs Atalanta BC3–2
2025-12-13Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio2–1
2025-02-15Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio0–0
2024-12-14Cagliari Calcio vs Atalanta BC0–1
2024-04-07Cagliari vs Atalanta2–1
2023-09-24Atalanta vs Cagliari2–0
2022-02-06Atalanta vs Cagliari1–2
2021-11-06Cagliari vs Atalanta1–2
2021-02-14Cagliari vs Atalanta0–1
2020-10-04Atalanta vs Cagliari5–2

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FAQ

Who will win Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Atalanta BC vs Cagliari Calcio head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureCagliari vs Atalanta11 Apr 2027 →