Atalanta BC crestAtalanta BCvsACF Fiorentina crestACF Fiorentina

Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 31 Jan 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Atalanta BC to win58%

1X2: model backs Atalanta BC at 58%.

Tofiko58% / 25% / 17%
  • Atalanta BC
  • Draw
  • ACF Fiorentina

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Atalanta BC or draw83%
  • Draw or ACF Fiorentina42%
  • Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.558%
  • Under 2.542%

Both teams to score

  • Atalanta BC, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • ACF Fiorentina, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 57.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 111 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Atalanta BC: LLLWW

ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 111 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.70Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-22ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC1–1
2025-11-30Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina2–0
2025-03-30ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC1–0
2024-09-15Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina3–2
2024-06-02Atalanta vs Fiorentina2–3
2023-09-17Fiorentina vs Atalanta3–2
2023-04-17Fiorentina vs Atalanta1–1
2022-10-02Atalanta vs Fiorentina1–0
2022-02-20Fiorentina vs Atalanta1–0
2021-09-11Atalanta vs Fiorentina1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina kick off?
Sun, 31 Jan 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureFiorentina vs Atalanta29 Oct 2026 →