ACF Fiorentinavs
Atalanta BCACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie AWed, 28 Oct 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atalanta BC40%
- ACF Fiorentina 32%
- Draw 29%
- Atalanta BC 40%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Atalanta BC, rating it at 39.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- ACF Fiorentina's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
ACF Fiorentina: DWLWW
Atalanta BC: WDLWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–0 |
| 2025-03-30 | ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-15 | Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina | 3–2 |
| 2024-06-02 | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | 2–3 |
| 2023-09-17 | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-17 | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-02 | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | 1–0 |
| 2022-02-20 | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | 1–0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC kick off?
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.