ACF Fiorentinavs
Atalanta BCACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie AThu, 29 Oct 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atalanta BC40%
- ACF Fiorentina
- Draw
- Atalanta BC
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- ACF Fiorentina or draw60%
- Draw or Atalanta BC68%
- ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC71%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.556%
- Under 2.544%
Both teams to score
- ACF Fiorentina, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Atalanta BC, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Atalanta BC, rating it at 39.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and ACF Fiorentina won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
ACF Fiorentina: LDWWL
Atalanta BC: LLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-22 | ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC | 1–1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina | 2–0 |
| 2025-03-30 | ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC | 1–0 |
| 2024-09-15 | Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina | 3–2 |
| 2024-06-02 | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | 2–3 |
| 2023-09-17 | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-17 | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-02 | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | 1–0 |
| 2022-02-20 | Fiorentina vs Atalanta | 1–0 |
| 2021-09-11 | Atalanta vs Fiorentina | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC kick off?
- Thu, 29 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.