Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sun, 22 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Atalanta BC 1–0 Hellas Verona FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atalanta BC71%
- Atalanta BC 71%
- Draw 19%
- Hellas Verona FC 10%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 71.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Atalanta BC: WDLWD
Hellas Verona FC: WWWLD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Hellas Verona FC vs Atalanta BC | 3–1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Hellas Verona FC vs Atalanta BC | 0–5 |
| 2024-10-26 | Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC | 6–1 |
| 2024-04-15 | Atalanta vs Hellas Verona | 2–2 |
| 2023-09-27 | Hellas Verona vs Atalanta | 0–1 |
| 2023-05-20 | Atalanta vs Hellas Verona | 3–1 |
| 2022-08-28 | Hellas Verona vs Atalanta | 0–1 |
| 2022-04-18 | Atalanta vs Hellas Verona | 1–2 |
| 2021-12-12 | Hellas Verona vs Atalanta | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC kick off?
- Sun, 22 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
- What is the Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.