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Atalanta BC crestAtalanta BCvsHellas Verona FC crestHellas Verona FC

Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sun, 22 Mar 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Atalanta BC 10 Hellas Verona FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Atalanta BC71%

Atalanta BC 71%
Draw 19%
Hellas Verona FC 10%
  • Atalanta BC 71%
  • Draw 19%
  • Hellas Verona FC 10%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 71.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won 3 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 18.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Atalanta BC: WDLWD

Hellas Verona FC: WWWLD

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-22Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC1–0
2025-12-06Hellas Verona FC vs Atalanta BC3–1
2025-02-08Hellas Verona FC vs Atalanta BC0–5
2024-10-26Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC6–1
2024-04-15Atalanta vs Hellas Verona2–2
2023-09-27Hellas Verona vs Atalanta0–1
2023-05-20Atalanta vs Hellas Verona3–1
2022-08-28Hellas Verona vs Atalanta0–1
2022-04-18Atalanta vs Hellas Verona1–2
2021-12-12Hellas Verona vs Atalanta1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC?
Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC kick off?
Sun, 22 Mar 2026 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
What is the Atalanta BC vs Hellas Verona FC head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

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