Atalanta BC crestAtalanta BCvsInter Milan crestInter Milan

Atalanta BC vs Inter Milan Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 22 Nov 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Inter Milan or draw74%

1X2: model backs Inter Milan at 47% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko26% / 27% / 47%
  • Atalanta BC
  • Draw
  • Inter Milan

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Atalanta BC or draw53%
  • Draw or Inter Milan74%
  • Atalanta BC or Inter Milan73%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.559%
  • Under 2.541%

Both teams to score

  • Atalanta BC, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • Inter Milan, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 47.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Atalanta BC won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Inter Milan's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Atalanta BC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Inter Milan's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 41 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Atalanta BC: LLLWW

Inter Milan: WWDWL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 41 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-14Inter Milan vs Atalanta BC1–1
2025-12-28Atalanta BC vs Inter Milan0–1
2025-03-16Atalanta BC vs Inter Milan0–2
2024-08-30Inter Milan vs Atalanta BC4–0
2024-02-28Inter Milan vs Atalanta4–0
2023-11-04Atalanta vs Inter Milan1–2
2023-05-27Inter Milan vs Atalanta3–2
2022-11-13Atalanta vs Inter Milan2–3
2022-01-16Atalanta vs Inter Milan0–0
2021-09-25Inter Milan vs Atalanta2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Atalanta BC vs Inter Milan?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Atalanta BC vs Inter Milan kick off?
Sun, 22 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Atalanta BC vs Inter Milan head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureInter vs Atalanta28 Feb 2027 →