Atalanta BCvs
US LecceAtalanta BC vs US Lecce Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 23 May 2027 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Atalanta BC to win69%
1X2: model backs Atalanta BC at 69%.
- Atalanta BC
- Draw
- US Lecce
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Atalanta BC or draw90%
- Draw or US Lecce31%
- Atalanta BC or US Lecce79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.549%
- Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
- Atalanta BC, last 10 home games5 of 10
- US Lecce, last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (379 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 69.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Atalanta BC won 3 of 8, with 1 drawn. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 223 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Atalanta BC: WLLLW
US Lecce: LLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 223 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.88Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | US Lecce vs Atalanta BC | 0–3 |
| 2025-09-14 | Atalanta BC vs US Lecce | 4–1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Atalanta BC vs US Lecce | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-19 | US Lecce vs Atalanta BC | 0–4 |
| 2024-05-18 | Lecce vs Atalanta | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-30 | Atalanta vs Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-19 | Atalanta vs Lecce | 1–2 |
| 2022-11-09 | Lecce vs Atalanta | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atalanta BC vs US Lecce?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atalanta BC vs US Lecce kick off?
- Sun, 23 May 2027 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Atalanta BC vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.