US Leccevs
Atalanta BCUS Lecce vs Atalanta BC Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie AMon, 30 Nov 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Atalanta BC to win56%
1X2: model backs Atalanta BC at 56%.
- US Lecce
- Draw
- Atalanta BC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- US Lecce or draw44%
- Draw or Atalanta BC82%
- US Lecce or Atalanta BC74%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.544%
- Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
- US Lecce, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Atalanta BC, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 56.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and US Lecce won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 50 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
US Lecce: LLWLL
Atalanta BC: LLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 50 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.88Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | US Lecce vs Atalanta BC | 0–3 |
| 2025-09-14 | Atalanta BC vs US Lecce | 4–1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Atalanta BC vs US Lecce | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-19 | US Lecce vs Atalanta BC | 0–4 |
| 2024-05-18 | Lecce vs Atalanta | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-30 | Atalanta vs Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-19 | Atalanta vs Lecce | 1–2 |
| 2022-11-09 | Lecce vs Atalanta | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Lecce vs Atalanta BC?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Lecce vs Atalanta BC kick off?
- Mon, 30 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Lecce vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.