US Leccevs
Atalanta BCUS Lecce vs Atalanta BC Prediction, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 29 Nov 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Atalanta BC56%
- US Lecce 18%
- Draw 26%
- Atalanta BC 56%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Atalanta BC, rating it at 56.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and US Lecce won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. US Lecce's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 3. Atalanta BC's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 89 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
US Lecce: LWLWW
Atalanta BC: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 89 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 2.88Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 63%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | US Lecce vs Atalanta BC | 0–3 |
| 2025-09-14 | Atalanta BC vs US Lecce | 4–1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Atalanta BC vs US Lecce | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-19 | US Lecce vs Atalanta BC | 0–4 |
| 2024-05-18 | Lecce vs Atalanta | 0–2 |
| 2023-12-30 | Atalanta vs Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2023-02-19 | Atalanta vs Lecce | 1–2 |
| 2022-11-09 | Lecce vs Atalanta | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win US Lecce vs Atalanta BC?
- Tofiko's model favours Atalanta BC (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Lecce vs Atalanta BC kick off?
- Sun, 29 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Lecce vs Atalanta BC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.