Empoli FC 1-1 Bologna FC 1909 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sat, 25 Jan 2025 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bologna FC 190946%
- Empoli FC 30%
- Draw 25%
- Bologna FC 1909 46%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bologna FC 1909, rating it at 45.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Empoli FC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
Empoli FC: LWDDD
Bologna FC 1909: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.38Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-25 | Empoli FC vs Bologna FC 1909 | 1–1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Bologna FC 1909 vs Empoli FC | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-15 | Empoli vs Bologna | 0–1 |
| 2023-10-01 | Bologna vs Empoli | 3–0 |
| 2023-05-04 | Empoli vs Bologna | 3–1 |
| 2022-09-17 | Bologna vs Empoli | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-06 | Bologna vs Empoli | 0–0 |
| 2021-09-26 | Empoli vs Bologna | 4–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Empoli FC vs Bologna FC 1909?
- Tofiko's model favours Bologna FC 1909 (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Empoli FC vs Bologna FC 1909 kick off?
- Sat, 25 Jan 2025 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
- What is the Empoli FC vs Bologna FC 1909 head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.