Empoli FC crestEmpoli FCvsBologna FC 1909 crestBologna FC 1909

Empoli FC 1-1 Bologna FC 1909 — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sat, 25 Jan 2025 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bologna FC 190946%

  • Empoli FC 30%
  • Draw 25%
  • Bologna FC 1909 46%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bologna FC 1909, rating it at 45.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Empoli FC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Bologna FC 1909: LLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.38Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-01-25Empoli FC vs Bologna FC 19091–1
2024-08-31Bologna FC 1909 vs Empoli FC1–1
2024-03-15Empoli vs Bologna0–1
2023-10-01Bologna vs Empoli3–0
2023-05-04Empoli vs Bologna3–1
2022-09-17Bologna vs Empoli0–1
2022-02-06Bologna vs Empoli0–0
2021-09-26Empoli vs Bologna4–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Empoli FC vs Bologna FC 1909?
Tofiko's model favours Bologna FC 1909 (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Empoli FC vs Bologna FC 1909 kick off?
Sat, 25 Jan 2025 19:45 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
What is the Empoli FC vs Bologna FC 1909 head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.38 goals per game.

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