Bologna FC 1909 crestBologna FC 1909vsUS Lecce crestUS Lecce

Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 28 Feb 2027 17:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Bologna FC 1909 to win57%

1X2: model backs Bologna FC 1909 at 57%.

Tofiko57% / 29% / 13%
  • Bologna FC 1909
  • Draw
  • US Lecce

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Bologna FC 1909 or draw87%
  • Draw or US Lecce43%
  • Bologna FC 1909 or US Lecce71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.537%
  • Under 2.563%

Both teams to score

  • Bologna FC 1909, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • US Lecce, last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (378 games)47%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Bologna FC 1909, rating it at 57.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 9 times, and Bologna FC 1909 won 3 of 9, with 3 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 140 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Bologna FC 1909: WDLDL

US Lecce: LLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 140 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 9Games
  • 2.56Avg goals
  • 44%Both scored
  • 44%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-10-11US Lecce vs Bologna FC 19091–2
2026-04-12Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce2–0
2025-09-28US Lecce vs Bologna FC 19092–2
2025-02-09US Lecce vs Bologna FC 19090–0
2024-11-02Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce1–0
2024-02-11Bologna vs Lecce4–0
2023-12-03Lecce vs Bologna1–1
2023-06-04Lecce vs Bologna2–3
2022-10-23Bologna vs Lecce2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce?
Tofiko's model favours Bologna FC 1909 (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce kick off?
Sun, 28 Feb 2027 17:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce head-to-head record?
In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.56 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legLecce 1-2 Bologna11 Oct 2026 →