US Leccevs
Bologna FC 1909US Lecce 1-2 Bologna FC 1909 — Result, H2H & Form
Italian Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bologna FC 190942%
Tofiko32% / 27% / 42%
Market24% / 29% / 47%
- US Lecce
- Draw
- Bologna FC 1909
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bologna FC 1909, rating it at 41.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and US Lecce won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 11 Oct 2026.
US Lecce: LLWLL
Bologna FC 1909: WDLDL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Oct 2026.
- 9Games
- 2.56Avg goals
- 44%Both scored
- 44%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 | 1–2 |
| 2026-04-12 | Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce | 2–0 |
| 2025-09-28 | US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 | 2–2 |
| 2025-02-09 | US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Bologna vs Lecce | 4–0 |
| 2023-12-03 | Lecce vs Bologna | 1–1 |
| 2023-06-04 | Lecce vs Bologna | 2–3 |
| 2022-10-23 | Bologna vs Lecce | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909?
- Tofiko's model favours Bologna FC 1909 (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.56 goals per game.