US Lecce crestUS LeccevsBologna FC 1909 crestBologna FC 1909

US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction, H2H & Form

Italian Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bologna FC 190942%

Tofiko31% / 27% / 42%
Market22% / 28% / 50%
  • US Lecce
  • Draw
  • Bologna FC 1909

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bologna FC 1909, rating it at 42.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and US Lecce won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 8 Oct 2026.

US Lecce: LWLLW

Bologna FC 1909: DLDLL

Head-to-head

As of 8 Oct 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 38%Both scored
  • 38%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce2–0
2025-09-28US Lecce vs Bologna FC 19092–2
2025-02-09US Lecce vs Bologna FC 19090–0
2024-11-02Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce1–0
2024-02-11Bologna vs Lecce4–0
2023-12-03Lecce vs Bologna1–1
2023-06-04Lecce vs Bologna2–3
2022-10-23Bologna vs Lecce2–0

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FAQ

Who will win US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909?
Tofiko's model favours Bologna FC 1909 (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBologna vs Lecce28 Feb 2027 →