US Leccevs
Bologna FC 1909US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bologna FC 190942%
- US Lecce 24%
- Draw 34%
- Bologna FC 1909 42%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bologna FC 1909, rating it at 42.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and US Lecce won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
US Lecce: WDLWW
Bologna FC 1909: WWDLD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 38%Both scored
- 38%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce | 2–0 |
| 2025-09-28 | US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 | 2–2 |
| 2025-02-09 | US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 | 0–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | Bologna FC 1909 vs US Lecce | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Bologna vs Lecce | 4–0 |
| 2023-12-03 | Lecce vs Bologna | 1–1 |
| 2023-06-04 | Lecce vs Bologna | 2–3 |
| 2022-10-23 | Bologna vs Lecce | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909?
- Tofiko's model favours Bologna FC 1909 (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909 head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.