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Cagliari Calcio crestCagliari CalciovsUS Cremonese crestUS Cremonese

Cagliari Calcio vs US Cremonese Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sat, 11 Apr 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Cagliari Calcio 10 US Cremonese

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Cagliari Calcio47%

Cagliari Calcio 47%
Draw 26%
US Cremonese 28%
  • Cagliari Calcio 47%
  • Draw 26%
  • US Cremonese 28%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Cagliari Calcio, rating it at 46.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Cagliari Calcio won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Cagliari Calcio: WDWWL

US Cremonese: DWLWW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-11Cagliari Calcio vs US Cremonese1–0
2026-01-08US Cremonese vs Cagliari Calcio2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Cagliari Calcio vs US Cremonese?
Tofiko's model favours Cagliari Calcio (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cagliari Calcio vs US Cremonese kick off?
Sat, 11 Apr 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
What is the Cagliari Calcio vs US Cremonese head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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