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Cagliari Calcio crestCagliari CalciovsInter Milan crestInter Milan

Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie ASun, 30 Aug 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Inter Milan71%

Cagliari Calcio 11%
Draw 19%
Inter Milan 71%
  • Cagliari Calcio 11%
  • Draw 19%
  • Inter Milan 71%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 70.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Cagliari Calcio won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 18.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Cagliari Calcio: DWDWW

Inter Milan: WDDWD

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-17Inter Milan vs Cagliari Calcio3–0
2025-09-27Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan0–2
2025-04-12Inter Milan vs Cagliari Calcio3–1
2024-12-28Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan0–3
2024-04-14Inter Milan vs Cagliari2–2
2023-08-28Cagliari vs Inter Milan0–2
2022-05-15Cagliari vs Inter Milan1–3
2021-12-12Inter Milan vs Cagliari4–0
2021-04-11Inter Milan vs Cagliari1–0
2020-12-13Cagliari vs Inter Milan1–3

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FAQ

Who will win Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan kick off?
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
What is the Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

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