Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie ASun, 30 Aug 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Inter Milan71%
- Cagliari Calcio 11%
- Draw 19%
- Inter Milan 71%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Inter Milan, rating it at 70.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Cagliari Calcio won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Cagliari Calcio: DWDWW
Inter Milan: WDDWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Inter Milan vs Cagliari Calcio | 3–0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan | 0–2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Inter Milan vs Cagliari Calcio | 3–1 |
| 2024-12-28 | Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan | 0–3 |
| 2024-04-14 | Inter Milan vs Cagliari | 2–2 |
| 2023-08-28 | Cagliari vs Inter Milan | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-15 | Cagliari vs Inter Milan | 1–3 |
| 2021-12-12 | Inter Milan vs Cagliari | 4–0 |
| 2021-04-11 | Inter Milan vs Cagliari | 1–0 |
| 2020-12-13 | Cagliari vs Inter Milan | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan?
- Tofiko's model favours Inter Milan (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 18:45 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the Cagliari Calcio vs Inter Milan head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.