Como 1907 crestComo 1907vsEmpoli FC crestEmpoli FC

Como 1907 1-1 Empoli FC — Result, H2H & Form

Italian Serie A 2024-2025Sat, 29 Mar 2025 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Como 190756%

  • Como 1907 56%
  • Draw 24%
  • Empoli FC 20%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Como 1907, rating it at 56.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Como 1907 won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 2 Sep 2026.

Como 1907: WDLDW

Empoli FC: LWDDD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-03-29Como 1907 vs Empoli FC1–1
2024-11-04Empoli FC vs Como 19071–0

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FAQ

Who will win Como 1907 vs Empoli FC?
Tofiko's model favours Como 1907 (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Como 1907 vs Empoli FC kick off?
Sat, 29 Mar 2025 14:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2024-2025.
What is the Como 1907 vs Empoli FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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