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US Cremonese crestUS CremonesevsAC Milan crestAC Milan

US Cremonese vs AC Milan Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sun, 01 Mar 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: US Cremonese 02 AC Milan

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AC Milan60%

US Cremonese 18%
Draw 22%
AC Milan 60%
  • US Cremonese 18%
  • Draw 22%
  • AC Milan 60%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AC Milan, rating it at 60.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and US Cremonese won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

US Cremonese: DWLWW

AC Milan: DLWLL

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-01US Cremonese vs AC Milan0–2
2025-08-23AC Milan vs US Cremonese1–2
2023-05-03AC Milan vs Cremonese1–1
2022-11-08Cremonese vs AC Milan0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win US Cremonese vs AC Milan?
Tofiko's model favours AC Milan (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Cremonese vs AC Milan kick off?
Sun, 01 Mar 2026 11:30 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
What is the US Cremonese vs AC Milan head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

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