?
US Cremonese crestUS CremonesevsBologna FC 1909 crestBologna FC 1909

US Cremonese vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction, H2H & Stats

Italian Serie A 2025-2026Sun, 05 Apr 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: US Cremonese 12 Bologna FC 1909

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bologna FC 190944%

US Cremonese 31%
Draw 25%
Bologna FC 1909 44%
  • US Cremonese 31%
  • Draw 25%
  • Bologna FC 1909 44%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bologna FC 1909, rating it at 43.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and US Cremonese won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

US Cremonese: DWLWW

Bologna FC 1909: WWDLD

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.75Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-05US Cremonese vs Bologna FC 19091–2
2025-12-01Bologna FC 1909 vs US Cremonese1–3
2023-05-20Cremonese vs Bologna1–5
2023-01-23Bologna vs Cremonese1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win US Cremonese vs Bologna FC 1909?
Tofiko's model favours Bologna FC 1909 (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does US Cremonese vs Bologna FC 1909 kick off?
Sun, 05 Apr 2026 13:00 GMT — Italian Serie A 2025-2026.
What is the US Cremonese vs Bologna FC 1909 head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.75 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.