US Cremonesevs
SS LazioUS Cremonese vs SS Lazio Prediction, H2H & Stats
Italian Serie AMon, 04 May 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: US Cremonese 1–2 SS Lazio
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SS Lazio56%
- US Cremonese 21%
- Draw 23%
- SS Lazio 56%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick SS Lazio, rating it at 55.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and US Cremonese won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
US Cremonese: DWLWW
SS Lazio: WWLLL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | US Cremonese vs SS Lazio | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-20 | SS Lazio vs US Cremonese | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-28 | Lazio vs Cremonese | 3–2 |
| 2022-09-18 | Cremonese vs Lazio | 0–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win US Cremonese vs SS Lazio?
- Tofiko's model favours SS Lazio (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does US Cremonese vs SS Lazio kick off?
- Mon, 04 May 2026 16:30 GMT — Italian Serie A.
- What is the US Cremonese vs SS Lazio head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.